Lightning Mailbag: Carlson, Mikheyev, and the Atlantic Race

Tampa Bay Lightning · 2026-09-12 · Beatline Sports Podcast Network

Nicole: You are listening to the Beatline Podcast Network, where we live for the game. I’m Nicole, and this is your daily dive into the NHL.

Kevin: And I’m Kevin. We’re talking Tampa Bay today, but not just talking—we’re answering your questions about their new look.

Nicole: Before we get to the mailbag, let’s set the scene. The preseason is here, camps are opening, and the Lightning are sitting pretty as the number one seed in the Atlantic Division right now, even with a 0-0-0 record.

Kevin: Right. It’s early, but the structure is there. We’ve got three big things coming up: how John Carlson fits into that blue line, whether Ilya Mikheyev changes the forecheck, and who starts on net.

Nicole: We also have a cold open hook for you. If you think Victor Hedman is carrying the defensive load alone, you might want to rethink everything you know about this team’s top pair.

Kevin: It’s a shift in strategy. And yes, we’re going back to those predictions from last week about the Conference Final run. Let’s see if the roster supports it.

Nicole: Welcome to the show, Lightning fans. Ava, what’s on the docket?

Kevin: We’ve got emails from across the board. Some of you are worried about depth. Some of you are hyped for the Rangers matchup on October 1st. Let’s get into it.

Nicole: First question comes from Sarah in Rochester. She asks: 'With John Carlson signing that two-year deal, does he immediately slot in as the number one defenseman alongside Hedman?'

Kevin: That’s the logical assumption. Carlson is a veteran presence. He fills that need on the right side perfectly. But Kevin here has a nuance to add.

Nicole: Oh, I see that look. What’s the catch, Kev?

Kevin: The catch is experience pairing. Hedman usually plays left. Carlson is a right-shot. They fit physically, but do they play together every night? Maybe not initially. Ryan McDonagh might still be getting minutes there.

Nicole: So it’s a gradual integration. Carlson brings that power-play quarterbacking ability we missed.

Kevin: Exactly. His shot from the point opens up the zone entry game. But defensively, it’s about chemistry. Erik Cernak is still our physical anchor on the other pair.

Nicole: Next up, @HockeyFanatic99 asks: 'Ilya Mikheyev. Four years, $3.85 million AAV. Is he a steal or just volume scoring?'

Kevin: It’s a steal. He’s tenacious. He’s coming from Chicago, and he adds grit to a forward group that sometimes lacks bite in the corners.

Nicole: He’s 31, so he’s not a project. He’s ready to contribute day one.

Kevin: Day one. He’ll likely slide into a bottom-six role that plays bigger than his name suggests. That helps Point and Kucherov by taking on tough matchups.

Nicole: Let’s pause here for a quick moment. This breakdown of the new signings is exactly why we do this daily. To keep you informed without the fluff. If you value this kind of deep, factual analysis, please consider supporting us. It keeps the show free and daily. You can find the link in the episode description. Thank you for helping us keep the beat.

Nicole: Welcome back. We’re diving into roster battles. Marcus in Denver writes: 'Who wins the starting goalie job? Vasilevskiy or Johansson?'

Kevin: Vasilevskiy. No contest. Andrei is the starter. Jonas Johansson is there for insurance, maybe for an injury call-up, but Vasy is the guy.

Nicole: But Dennis Hildeby is in the mix too, right? He’s young.

Kevin: Hildeby is a prospect. He’s developing. For the regular season opener against the Rangers, it’s Vasy. Unless something happens, he’s the number one.

Nicole: Fair enough. Next question from Lisa in St. Pete: 'Brayden Point is listed as Center. How does the top line look with him, Kucherov, and Hagel?'

Kevin: That’s the core. Point at center, Nikita Kucherov on the right wing, Brandon Hagel on the left. It’s the same dynamic we saw last year.

Nicole: Jake Guentzel was on the roster list too. Where does he fit?

Kevin: Guentzel is a center. He could play second line center or slide to wing. He adds versatility. But Point is the anchor.

Nicole: What about Yanni Gourde? Still relevant?

Kevin: Always. He’s the energy guy. Anthony Cirelli is the shutdown center. Gourde provides that hustle we love.

Nicole: So the forward groups are solid. But let’s talk defense again. Who is the third pair?

Kevin: Michael Callahan and J.J. Moser seem like the likely combo. Moser brings skating, Callahan brings size.

Nicole: Charle-Edouard D'Astous is there too. Does he compete for those spots?

Kevin: He’s in camp. He needs to earn it. But the top four seems set: Hedman-Carlson, McDonagh-Cernak.

Nicole: Let’s move to Segment 3. Fun hypothetical time. What if the Lightning lose their first game to the Rangers?

Kevin: Then we panic. Just kidding. One loss doesn’t define a season. But it would hurt confidence early.

Nicole: Right. The Rangers are tough at home. But Tampa has the talent to bounce back.

Nicole: Lightning round! First player: Nick Abruzzese. Role?

Kevin: Bottom six center. Energy.

Nicole: Second: Conor Geekie. Role?

Kevin: Prospect. Development league likely.

Nicole: Third: Jeffrey Viel. Role?

Kevin: Young winger. Needs ice time.

Nicole: Fourth: Gage Goncalves. Role?

Kevin: Center. Depth.

Nicole: Fifth: Zemgus Girgensons. Role?

Kevin: Veteran depth. Physical.

Nicole: Sixth: Jansen Harkins. Role?

Kevin: Forward. Versatile.

Nicole: Seventh: Dominic James. Role?

Kevin: Center. Prospect.

Nicole: Eighth: Pontus Holmberg. Role?

Kevin: RW. Two-way.

Nicole: Ninth: Scott Sabourin. Role?

Kevin: RW. Grindy.

Nicole: Tenth: Michael Callahan. Role?

Kevin: Defenseman. Third pair.

Nicole: Eleventh: Maxwell Crozier. Role?

Kevin: Defenseman. Depth.

Nicole: Twelfth: Maxim Groshev. Role?

Kevin: Defenseman. Young.

Nicole: Thirteenth: Emil Lilleberg. Role?

Kevin: Defenseman. Prospect.

Nicole: Fourteenth: Kyle Konin. Role?

Kevin: Goaltender. Prospect.

Nicole: Fifteenth: Harrison Meneghin. Role?

Kevin: Goaltender. Prospect.

Nicole: Sixteenth: Olivier Rodrigue. Role?

Kevin: Goaltender. Prospect.

Nicole: Seventeenth: Mads Sogaard. Role?

Kevin: Goaltender. Prospect.

Nicole: Wow, Kevin, you really went through the whole roster list!

Kevin: Just making sure we covered everyone. The core is strong. Carlson, Mikheyev, Vasy, Point. It’s a real team.

Nicole: We’re sticking with our prediction: Conference Final, around 108 points. See you next time.

Kevin: Lightning Up!