Rockies vs Padres Preview: Carrigg's Hot Hand Meets SD's Streak

Colorado Rockies · 2026-09-16 · Beatline Sports Podcast Network

Erica: Cole Carrigg goes four for five with two home runs, and the Colorado Rockies finally snap that eight-game losing streak with a 9-3 demolition of the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night. But don’t celebrate too long, because the same Padres team is back in town for Game Two tonight at Coors Field.

Brett: It’s a huge momentum swing, Erica. The Rockies went from being swept by Detroit to taking down the hottest team in baseball. But San Diego has won eight straight games, featuring homers from Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. last time out. This series is about to get real interesting.

Erica: Welcome to the Beatline Podcast Network, the daily sports podcast network that never sleeps. I’m Erica, and I’m here with Brett. We are live on September 16th, 2026, and we have a massive NL West preview coming up. Tonight, we’re breaking down the Rockies’ second game against the Padres. We’ve got three things for you: first, who starts on the mound for this one? Second, can Cole Carrigg keep this heat going against a elite bullpen? And third, how do those injuries reshape the Rockies' defensive alignment?

Brett: Exactly. If you listened yesterday, you know we talked about Tomoyuki Sugano struggling against hot lineups. Well, the Padres lineup is as hot as it gets. They just beat us 8-7 on Monday before this win streak started. So, the question isn't just who pitches, but how does the Rockies' defense handle the power surge?

Erica: Right. Let’s dive right into Segment One. The pitching matchup. We know the Padres are riding high. What do we know about the Rockies' starter for tonight's 4:40 PM start?

Brett: Well, looking at the rotation options available, Kyle Freeland is still on the roster, but he’s been battling through some tough innings lately. With Gabriel Hughes also listed as a starting pitcher, I’m wondering if they go with Hughes to try and stabilize the middle of the order. Freeland has been the workhorse, but the run support has been inconsistent until that 9-3 win yesterday.

Erica: So you think they might rest Freeland after that big win? Or is he the guy who needs to prove himself again against a team that just scored eight runs off their staff?

Brett: I think they stick with Freeland. He’s the veteran presence. But the issue is the opposing lineup. Tatis Jr. and Machado are hitting .300+ over their last ten games. Freeland’s slider has been vulnerable to left-handed power hitters all season. If he doesn’t command his changeup early, he’s going to get lit up.

Erica: That’s a scary thought. A slider getting lit up by Machado is basically a guaranteed extra-base hit. Does Ryan Feltner factor in here? He’s listed as a starter, so maybe they rotate him in to mix things up?

Brett: Feltner is an option, but he’s less experienced. Against a Padres team that’s figured out how to exploit every weakness in the NL West, I’d rather see Freeland go deep. The Rockies need six strong innings, not a reliever jam. And let’s be honest, the bullpen is already stretched thin with all these injuries we talked about.

Erica: Speaking of the bullpen, we mentioned injuries earlier. Who is actually available to pitch relief tonight?

Brett: It’s a skeleton crew. Jason Adam is on the 60-day IL. Joe Musgrove is out for the year. Lucas Giolito is also 60-day IL. McCade Brown is gone too. So you’re looking at guys like Jordan Romano, Jimmy Herget, and Nick Frasso to eat up innings. That’s a lot of pressure on a short arm.

Erica: Wow. Just look at that list. Adam, Musgrove, Giolito, Brown—all out. It feels like the Rockies are trying to build a house while someone keeps taking away bricks. How does that affect your strategy when you’re up by two runs in the seventh?

Brett: You panic. You pull your starter earlier than you want to. You can’t trust the late-inning stuff if you don’t have your best arms. Romano is a high-leverage arm, but he’s a reliever. Using him in the fifth or sixth inning is a gamble. If he gives up a run, you’re in trouble. So, the key is getting outs in the third and fourth innings to save the bullpen for the ninth.

Erica: Okay, so we have a potential pitching mismatch and a depleted bullpen. Let’s move to Segment Two. The offense. Cole Carrigg was phenomenal yesterday. Four hits, two homers. Can he carry that energy into tonight?

Brett: Carrigg is playing out of his mind. He’s a center fielder, which means he’s likely seeing more fastballs up in the zone because pitchers are trying to avoid walking him. His plate discipline has improved drastically. He’s not chasing the sliders on the corners anymore. That’s why he got two bombs yesterday.

Erica: And Troy Johnston had three hits and two RBIs. It wasn’t just one guy. The whole lineup woke up. Ezequiel Tovar was part of that attack too, right?

Brett: Tovar is always dangerous. He’s got the speed and the contact skills. But the Padres’ pitching staff, even without their ace, is good. They have depth. If Tovar doesn’t get on base, the middle of the order—Johnston, Carrigg, Beck—doesn’t get enough opportunities. It’s all about getting runners on.

Erica: What about the defensive side? With so many players on the IL, like Miguel Andujar and Willi Castro, who is filling those spots? Does that change how they play the outfield?

Brett: Defensively, it’s chaotic. You have Jake McCarthy, Mickey Moniak, and Zac Veen all competing for outfield spots alongside Jordan Beck. McCarthy is a smart defender, but he’s not a power hitter. Moniak is raw. Veen has power but lacks experience. Against a team like San Diego that hits for average and power, you need defenders who can cover ground. I worry about the gaps.

Erica: So, no Andujar at third, no Castro in the infield. That means Connor Norby or Adael Amador are probably starting at second base. Are they proven MLB defenders?

Brett: Norby is athletic, but he’s young. Amador is more of a utility guy. Neither is a Gold Glove caliber. If the Padres start hitting balls into the gaps, those errors will add up. And at Coors Field, an error isn’t just an error; it’s often a run. The margins for error are non-existent here.

Erica: It’s clear the Rockies are fighting uphill battles on both sides of the ball. But hey, they just won! Momentum matters. Before we get to our final segment and our bold prediction, I want to take a quick second to talk about you, our listeners. These daily breakdowns are crafted with care to give you the edge in your fantasy leagues and your conversations with friends. If these insights are part of your morning routine or commute, a small contribution via the link in the episode description helps keep this show free and daily. It truly makes a difference.

Brett: Thanks, Erica. Okay, Segment Three. Keys to the series and my prediction. First key for the Rockies: Control the strike zone. If they chase pitches early in the count against the Padres’ starters, they’re dead. They need to force the Padres to pitch to them.

Erica: And for the Padres?

Brett: Exploit the weak fielding positions. Target the middle infield. Send the message early. If they score three runs in the first inning, the Rockies’ morale might dip again. The Padres need to establish dominance quickly.

Erica: Alright, predictions. Brett, you predicted the Padres would win easily yesterday and the day before. Are you sticking with that?

Brett: I am. The Padres’ winning streak is real. Their lineup is clicking. Even though the Rockies won yesterday, that was one game. Over a series, talent wins out. I predict San Diego wins 6, Rockies 3. Tatis and Machado will have big nights.

Erica: Ouch. Six to three. I’m going to go against the grain. The Rockies just broke an eight-game skid. Carrigg is hot. The crowd is energized. Sometimes, after a sweep, the other team comes out flat. I predict the Rockies steal another one. 5 to 4. Carrigg hits another homer.

Brett: I respect the optimism, Erica, but the data says otherwise. The Padres’ OPS is up, and the Rockies’ ERA is still high. It’s a tough call, but I’ll stand by San Diego.

Erica: We’ll see what happens at 4:40 PM tonight! Thanks for listening to the Beatline Podcast Network. If you enjoyed today’s preview, please subscribe, rate, and review us wherever you get your podcasts. Share this with a fellow Rockies fan who needs to hear this reality check—or that hope!

Brett: Rockies fans, stay loud, stay positive, and keep believing. Go Rockies!